Ukrainian Refugees: How Many are There, Their Intentions & Return Prospects

Find out in the report how many Ukrainians have left for other countries since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion, who these people are, how many of them will return to Ukraine, and what the economic consequences will be.

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According to various scenarios, between 1.3 million and 3.3 million Ukrainians may remain abroad. This is 0.4-0.6 million more people than we estimated as of December 2022. This change is a result of the longer duration of hostilities and further adaptation of refugees to life abroad. The non-return of Ukrainians will have a significant impact on the Ukrainian economy, which could lose between 2.7% and 6.9% of its GDP annually.

The report concludes with recommendations that may encourage Ukrainian refugees to return to Ukraine. They are as follows:

  • cooperation with EU countries on the return of Ukrainians after the war; rapid post-war reconstruction of the affected regions;
  • providing assistance to people from the affected and occupied regions for the period of reconstruction; developing public-private partnerships;
  • increasing resources for communication with compatriots abroad through diplomatic missions;
  • facilitating the reintegration of children to study in Ukrainian schools and the admission of Ukrainian graduates of foreign schools to Ukrainian universities;
  • opening the EU labor market to Ukrainians after the war.

Source: https://ces.org.ua/en/refugees-from-ukraine-final-report/